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Bitcoin 200 Week Moving Average Heatmap

The 200-week moving average (200WMA) is the average Bitcoin price of roughly the last four years. The heatmap colours each day's price by the 200WMA's % change over the last month: blue and purple when it rises slowly, orange and red when it rises fast. The plain line is the 200WMA itself, which the price has rarely closed below.

On 28 Sep 2026 Bitcoin's 200-week moving average is $65,804, and the price ($83,058) is 1.26× that level. The average moved +2.07% over the last 30 days. Months when it rose by 8% or more (orange and red on the chart) have tended to come in the late stages of bull markets.

Source: Binance spot BTCUSDT daily closes (UTC), from 17 Aug 2017Chart 17 Aug 2017 – 28 Sep 2026As of 11:45 UTC

200-week MA heatmap 28 Sep 2026
$65,804 1.26× the 200-week MA
200-week moving average
BTC close UTC day so far
$83,058
28 Sep 2026
Price ÷ 200WMA
1.26×
lowest 0.66× on 21 Nov 2022
200WMA, 30-day change
+2.07%
colour on the chart

200-week moving average heatmap

17 Aug 2017 – 28 Sep 2026 · log price · CSV
Bitcoin 200-week moving average heatmap Daily Bitcoin closing price on a log scale, each day coloured by the 30-day percentage change of the 200-week moving average, with the 200-week moving average line. $5k $10k $20k $50k $100k 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

200-week MA · 200WMA monthly change: < 0% 0–2% 2–4% 4–6% 6–8% 8–10% 10–12% 12–14% 14–16% ≥ 16% not enough history

The indicator starts on 16 Jun 2021, once the price history covers its longest average. The chart plots every 7th day to stay light; the CSV has every day. Not financial advice: these pages describe what each indicator showed in past cycles and predict nothing.

200-week MA heatmap FAQ

How is the 200-week moving average calculated here?

As the average of the last 1,400 daily closes (200 weeks × 7 days), updated every day. Charts that average 200 weekly closes give almost the same line.

What do the colours mean?

Each day's price is coloured by the 200-week average's percentage change over the previous 30 days: from dark blue (falling or flat) through purple to orange and red (16% or more in a month). Fast rises of the long-term average have tended to come in the late stages of bull markets.

Has Bitcoin traded below its 200-week moving average?

Rarely and briefly: mostly around bear-market lows such as late 2018, March 2020 and 2022. That is why the 200WMA is often described as a long-term floor, though nothing guarantees it will hold.

Where does the price data come from?

Daily closing prices (00:00 UTC) of Bitcoin from exchange public APIs: Binance spot BTCUSDT from 17 Aug 2017. Moving averages start once enough days of history have passed. The data refreshes every few hours, and today's close is the latest price so far. Each chart's data is free to download as CSV.

Is this a buy or sell signal?

No. These indicators describe how the price moved against its own averages in past cycles, and Bitcoin has had only a handful of cycles, so any pattern rests on very few examples. Nothing here is financial advice.