Estimated (model), not real positions: from the XAU liquidation heatmap model (map · methodology).
Long liquidation levels
below 4,145.8 · price falls| Price band | Distance | ≈ Estimated | Cumulative to here |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4,125–4,145.8 | -0.25% | $554K | $554K |
| 4,104.3–4,125 largest | -0.75% | $605K | $1.16M |
| 4,083.6–4,104.3 | -1.25% | $580K | $1.74M |
| 3,917.7–3,938.5 | -5.25% | $408K | $4.13M |
| 3,897–3,917.7 | -5.75% | $410K | $4.54M |
| 3,876.3–3,897 | -6.25% | $405K | $4.95M |
| 3,855.5–3,876.3 | -6.75% | $405K | $5.35M |
| 3,834.8–3,855.5 | -7.25% | $393K | $5.75M |
| 3,814.1–3,834.8 | -7.75% | $384K | $6.13M |
| 3,793.4–3,814.1 | -8.25% | $386K | $6.52M |
Short liquidation levels
above 4,145.8 · price rises| Price band | Distance | ≈ Estimated | Cumulative to here |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4,187.2–4,207.9 | +1.25% | $485K | $598K |
| 4,207.9–4,228.7 | +1.75% | $514K | $1.11M |
| 4,228.7–4,249.4 largest | +2.25% | $617K | $1.73M |
| 4,249.4–4,270.1 | +2.75% | $408K | $2.14M |
| 4,270.1–4,290.9 | +3.25% | $398K | $2.54M |
| 4,436–4,456.7 | +7.25% | $383K | $5.09M |
| 4,477.4–4,498.1 | +8.25% | $395K | $5.87M |
| 4,498.1–4,518.9 | +8.75% | $399K | $6.27M |
| 4,518.9–4,539.6 | +9.25% | $407K | $6.67M |
| 4,539.6–4,560.3 | +9.75% | $407K | $7.08M |
How to read the tables
Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27The 10 largest estimated clusters on each side, nearest the price first. A level is one price band of the XAU liquidation map (20.729 wide, 0.5% of the price). ≈ Estimated is the modelled USD of positions liquidated in the band, and Cumulative to here is everything the model places between the price and the band's far edge: what a move that far would liquidate in total. Where a move liquidates the most: XAU liquidation max pain. The model and its accuracy against real liquidations: methodology. JSON for embeds: /api/liquidation-levels/XAU. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.