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GRAM Whale vs Retail Delta

The GRAM whale vs retail delta: the share of top traders' GRAM position that is long minus the share of all accounts that are long, in percentage points. The chart runs back to 2020 on Binance and 2023 on Gate. Below it: where today's reading ranks in the past 30 days and year, and what price did after the year's most extreme readings.

GRAM whales are 0.7 pp more long than retail, the 3rd percentile of the past 30 days (Binance top traders' positions 71.1% long vs 70.4% of all accounts). The delta is up 2.2 pp in 24 hours. Since 2 Jul 2026 it ranged from -16.6 pp (2 Jul 2026) to +41.3 pp (15 Jul 2026). After the top 5% of hourly readings (above +38.5 pp), GRAM was higher 7 days later 0% of the time, median -9.0%, over 106 readings on 7 days. That describes the past and is not a trading signal.

Binance top traders vs all accounts2,119 hourly readings in the past yearAs of 14:00 UTC

GRAM whale vs retail Binance
+0.7 pp
top traders 71.1% longaccounts 70.4%
Percentile
— of 1y
3rd of the past 30 days24h change +2.2 pp
Range since 2 Jul 2026
-16.6 to +41.3
low 2 Jul 2026high 15 Jul 2026
Other exchange
-6.4 pp on Gate
same measure, Gate's own traders

GRAM top traders vs all accounts

Top trader positions long minus accounts long, pp

Chart: TradingView Lightweight Charts™

What GRAM did after extreme readings

2119 hourly readings since 2 Jul 2026
Readings Hours (days) 24h median 24h hit rate 7d median 7d hit rate
Top 5%: whales most long vs retail 106 (7) -1.3% n=106 21% -9.0% n=106 0%
Bottom 5%: whales least long vs retail 106 (11) -0.3% n=67 52% -4.0% n=61 62%

Top 5%: readings of +38.5 pp or more; bottom 5%: +5.4 pp or less. A hit is a rise after the top 5% (whales leaned long) and a fall after the bottom 5%. For comparison, across every hourly reading GRAM was higher 24 hours later 50% of the time (median +0.1%, n=2080) and 7 days later 36% (median -2.1%). Prices: Binance spot GRAM/USDT, hourly closes where this site recorded them, else daily closes. Readings cluster in episodes, so the samples overlap and are smaller than they look. This describes the past; it is not a trading signal and not financial advice.

How to read it. The delta is the share of top traders' GRAM position that is long minus the share of all accounts that are long, in percentage points. Retail accounts usually lean long, so the delta sits below zero much of the time; what matters is where it stands against its own history. The chart shows Binance and Gate separately. Compare every coin on the whale vs retail hub and the long/short ratio page.

GRAM whale vs retail FAQ

What is the GRAM whale vs retail delta?

The share of GRAM's top traders' combined position that is long, minus the share of all accounts with a GRAM position that are long, in percentage points. Top traders are Binance's top 20% of futures users by margin balance, weighted by position size; the accounts ratio counts every account once.

How is the "after extremes" table built?

We take the hourly readings of the past year, keep the highest 5% and the lowest 5%, and compare GRAM's Binance spot price at each reading with the price 24 hours and 7 days later: from hourly closes where this site has them, else from daily closes. The hit rate is how often price moved the way the whales leaned (up after the top 5%, down after the bottom 5%). Readings bunch together in episodes, so the number of distinct days is shown too.

Is it a trading signal?

No. The table describes what happened after past readings, before fees and funding, and a year holds only a handful of episodes. Nothing here is financial advice.