Celestia (TIA) Liquidation Max Pain (Estimated)
Where a move in Celestia would liquidate the most estimated leveraged positions: the running total of long liquidations as the price falls and of short liquidations as it rises, and the "max pain" price on each side where that total climbs fastest. For real positions instead of a model, see the TIA liquidation map on Hyperliquid.
Max pain down: 0.5508 (-7.50%); a fall to it would liquidate about $8.83M of longs in total. Max pain up: 0.6491 (+9.00%); a rise to it would liquidate about $6.87M of shorts in total.
Estimated (model), not real positions: from the TIA liquidation heatmap model (map · methodology). The TIA liquidation map on Hyperliquid shows the real liquidation prices of tracked Hyperliquid wallets instead.
TIA cumulative estimated liquidations by price move
±25% · 12 hoursMax pain levels
Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27| Side | Max pain price | Distance | Band | ≈ In the band | Cumulative to it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Down (longs) | 0.5508 | -7.50% | 0.5508–0.5568 | $1.61M (14%) | $8.83M |
| Up (shorts) | 0.6491 | +9.00% | 0.6431–0.6491 | $1.57M (19%) | $6.87M |
What "max pain" means here. Walk the price away from 0.5955 and add up the estimated positions it would liquidate on the way: longs as it falls, shorts as it rises. That running total only grows, so it is always largest at the edge; the interesting price is where it grows fastest. Max pain is the 1% price band within 10% of the price that holds the most estimated liquidations on that side, quoted at the band's far edge, the price a move has to reach to liquidate all of it. The share in brackets is that band's part of everything within 10%. *Window edge: the band ends on the 10% limit and a band further out holds more, so the real peak lies beyond the search window (see the curve and the levels). This is not options max pain. Level by level: TIA liquidation levels. The model and its accuracy: methodology. JSON for embeds: /api/liquidation-levels/TIA. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.
TIA liquidation max pain FAQ
What is liquidation max pain?
Here it is the price where a move would liquidate estimated positions fastest. Walking away from the current price, the running total of estimated liquidations only grows; max pain is the 1% price band within 10% of the price where that total climbs the most, on each side. If that band ends on the 10% limit and the total keeps climbing faster further out, the page marks it as at the window edge: the real peak lies beyond 10%. It is different from options max pain, which is about option expiries.
Are these Celestia liquidation levels real?
No, they are a model estimate. Binance, Bybit and the other centralised exchanges don't publish their users' liquidation prices, so every liquidation level chart for them is modelled. This one comes from the open interest changes, prices and volume this site records, through the same model as the TIA liquidation heatmap; the methodology page explains it and scores it against real liquidations.
Is there a version with real positions?
Yes, for coins that trade on Hyperliquid, where positions are on-chain: the TIA liquidation map on Hyperliquid adds up the real liquidation prices of tracked wallets there.
Can I trade on it?
Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.