ETH IV smile, 16 Oct 2026 expiry
mark IV by strike · bid/ask IV as a band- Binance mark IV
- Bybit mark IV
- Bid/ask IV
Every strike (20)
| Strike | OTM side | Binance mark IV | Bid / ask IV | Delta | Bybit mark IV | Bid / ask IV | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,200 | put | 59.4% | 59.5% / 59.9% | -0.04 | 57.2% | 59.6% / 59.8% | -0.03 |
| 2,300 | put | — | 53.9% | 55.2% / 55.5% | -0.06 | ||
| 2,400 | put | 51.5% | 51.5% / 51.7% | -0.10 | 51.1% | 51.5% / 51.7% | -0.10 |
| 2,450 | put | — | 49.9% | 50.1% / 50.2% | -0.13 | ||
| 2,500 | put | 48.9% | 49.0% / 49.1% | -0.18 | 48.9% | 49.0% / 49.1% | -0.17 |
| 2,550 | put | 48.0% | 48.2% / 48.3% | -0.23 | 48.1% | 48.1% / 48.3% | -0.22 |
| 2,600 | put | 47.4% | 47.5% / 47.6% | -0.28 | 47.5% | 47.4% / 47.7% | -0.28 |
| 2,650 | put | 47.1% | 47.1% / 47.2% | -0.35 | 47.2% | 47.1% / 47.3% | -0.35 |
| 2,700 | put | 47.0% | 47.0% / 47.1% | -0.42 | 47.0% | 46.9% / 47.2% | -0.42 |
| 2,750 | call | 47.2% | 47.1% / 47.6% | +0.51 | 47.1% | 46.9% / 47.6% | +0.51 |
| 2,800 | call | 47.5% | 47.5% / 47.7% | +0.44 | 47.4% | 47.3% / 47.6% | +0.44 |
| 2,850 | call | — | 47.9% | 47.7% / 48.0% | +0.37 | ||
| 2,900 | call | 48.5% | 48.6% / 48.8% | +0.31 | 48.5% | 48.3% / 48.6% | +0.31 |
| 2,950 | call | — | 49.2% | 49.0% / 49.2% | +0.26 | ||
| 3,000 | call | 50.0% | 50.1% / 50.2% | +0.22 | 50.0% | 49.8% / 50.0% | +0.22 |
| 3,100 | call | — | 51.9% | 51.6% / 51.8% | +0.15 | ||
| 3,200 | call | 54.0% | 54.0% / 54.1% | +0.10 | 54.0% | 53.7% / 53.8% | +0.10 |
| 3,300 | call | — | 56.1% | 55.8% / 55.9% | +0.07 | ||
| 3,400 | call | 58.4% | 58.3% / 58.6% | +0.05 | 58.3% | 58.0% / 58.1% | +0.05 |
| 3,500 | call | — | 60.4% | 60.3% / 60.5% | +0.03 |
ETH ATM IV term structure
at-the-money mark IV by days to expiry- Bybit
- Binance
- Combined
| Expiry (08:00 UTC) | Days | ATM IV | RR25 | Venues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 0.8 | 41.5% | +3.4 | Binance, Bybit |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 1.8 | 44.8% | +2.6 | Binance, Bybit |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 2.8 | 44.8% | +3.3 | Binance, Bybit |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 9.8 | 46.9% | +1.9 | Binance, Bybit |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 17 | 47.1% | +1.6 | Binance, Bybit |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 31 | 48.6% | +1.3 | Binance, Bybit |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 38 | 49.8% | −0.3 | Bybit |
| 27 Nov 2026 | 59 | 51.3% | +0.9 | Binance, Bybit |
| 25 Dec 2026 | 87 | 51.7% | +0.4 | Binance, Bybit |
| 26 Mar 2027 | 178 | 53.6% | +0.9 | Binance, Bybit |
| 25 Jun 2027 | 269 | 54.4% | +1.4 | Binance, Bybit |
| 24 Sep 2027 | 360 | 55.1% | +1.3 | Binance |
30-day ATM implied volatility
constant maturity, interpolated between expiries in total variance- 30-day ATM IV
30-day 25-delta risk reversal
vol points · negative = puts bidRR25 is the 25-delta call's implied vol minus the 25-delta put's: below zero traders pay up for downside protection, above zero for upside.
- 30-day RR25
30-day implied vs realized volatility
IV − RV now: +4.0 vol points- 30-day ATM IV
- 30-day realized vol
- IV − RV
How to read it. Mark IV is the implied volatility behind each exchange's option mark price. The smile uses the out-of-the-money option at each strike (puts below the forward, calls above); on the delta axis 0.25 is the 25-delta put, 0.5 at the money and 0.75 the 25-delta call. ATM IV is interpolated at the forward. The 30-day figures interpolate between the expiries either side of 30 days. Realized vol is the 30-day standard deviation of daily log returns of the Binance USDT perp, annualized with √365, as on the volatility screener.
Bybit and Binance options only, recorded from their public APIs every 5 minutes; not the whole crypto options market. Not financial advice.