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PIEVERSE: what happens after a volume spike?

Every PIEVERSE volume spike this site detects is followed up: the price 5 minutes, 15 minutes and 1 hour later is compared with the price at the spike. The tables count how often price kept going in the spike's direction (the hit rate) and how far, by exchange and by buy or sell side, with every figure's sample size. Past outcomes, not a forecast.

Across 50 buy- and sell-side PIEVERSE volume spikes with a 1-hour outcome (13 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026), price an hour later had moved in the spike's direction 56.0% of the time; the median follow-through was +0.14% (middle half -0.98% to +1.11%). After 15 minutes the hit rate was 54.0% over 50 spikes (median +0.06%). Buy-side spikes: 56.7% hit after 1 hour (n = 30); sell-side: 55.0% (n = 20).

Last 30 days80 PIEVERSE volume spikes12 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026Descriptive stats, not a signalAs of 18:26 UTC

Hit rate +5m
42.0%
median -0.24%n = 50
Hit rate +15m
54.0%
median +0.06%n = 50
Hit rate +1h
56.0%
median +0.14%n = 50
PIEVERSE volume spikes 30d
80
30 mixed (no side)12 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026

All PIEVERSE spikes · Last 30 days

80 volume spikes, 12 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026 (UTC)
After Spikes measured Hit rate Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Mean Date range (UTC)
5 min 50 42.0% -0.48% -0.24% +0.37% 0.00% 13 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026
15 min 50 54.0% -0.47% +0.06% +0.35% -0.05% 13 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026
1 hour 50 56.0% -0.98% +0.14% +1.11% -0.05% 13 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026

PIEVERSE by exchange

13 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026 (UTC)
+5m +15m +1h
Hit rate Median Hit rate Median Hit rate Median
Binance 41.2%n = 34 -0.17%-0.48% … +0.19% 58.8%n = 34 +0.10%-0.47% … +0.35% 58.8%n = 34 +0.18%-0.73% … +1.11%
Bybit 43.8%n = 16 -0.31%-0.41% … +0.64% 43.8%n = 16 -0.06%-0.48% … +0.33% 50.0%n = 16 -0.01%-1.13% … +0.99%

PIEVERSE by direction

13 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026 (UTC)
+5m +15m +1h
Hit rate Median Hit rate Median Hit rate Median
Buy-side spikesa hit is price up 43.3%n = 30 -0.12%-0.48% … +0.52% 56.7%n = 30 +0.09%-0.54% … +0.36% 56.7%n = 30 +0.17%-1.07% … +0.86%
Sell-side spikesa hit is price down 40.0%n = 20 -0.27%-0.39% … +0.15% 50.0%n = 20 -0.01%-0.45% … +0.19% 55.0%n = 20 +0.12%-0.68% … +1.19%

Last 20 PIEVERSE volume spikes

All history, newest first · price change after each spike
Day (UTC) Time Market Side Level × normal $ in 1m +5m +15m +1h
7 Nov 2026 09:34 UTC BIN perp SELL 2 15.7× $183K +0.21% +0.45% -0.21%
7 Nov 2026 09:13 UTC BYB spot MIX 3 43.3× $61K -0.33% -1.64% -3.01%
7 Nov 2026 09:13 UTC BIN perp BUY 3 20.7× $267K -0.50% -1.69% -3.29%
7 Nov 2026 08:18 UTC BYB spot MIX 3 16.4× $54K -0.22% +0.23% +3.56%
7 Nov 2026 08:18 UTC BIN perp MIX 2 14.5× $233K -0.34% +0.15% +3.56%
7 Nov 2026 07:56 UTC BIN perp SELL 1 7.7× $119K -0.13% -0.18% -2.51%
7 Nov 2026 06:16 UTC BIN perp BUY 1 6.0× $87K -0.66% -1.91% -2.43%
7 Nov 2026 06:07 UTC BYB perp BUY 2 15.4× $82K +1.25% +1.62% +0.21%
7 Nov 2026 06:04 UTC BYB spot BUY 3 66.7× $35K +1.11% +2.12% +0.94%
7 Nov 2026 06:04 UTC BIN perp BUY 3 20.0× $183K +0.97% +2.09% +1.07%
7 Nov 2026 05:11 UTC BIN perp BUY 3 24.3× $114K -0.13% +1.67% +6.44%
6 Nov 2026 15:05 UTC BIN perp SELL 3 16.8× $91K +0.55% -0.10% +1.30%
6 Nov 2026 10:06 UTC BIN perp SELL 3 16.2× $129K -0.14% +1.77% +0.57%
6 Nov 2026 09:32 UTC BYB perp BUY 3 28.0× $75K -0.35% -0.57% -1.56%
6 Nov 2026 09:32 UTC BIN perp BUY 2 9.3× $90K -0.35% -0.63% -1.59%
6 Nov 2026 07:25 UTC BIN perp BUY 1 6.1× $88K -0.36% +0.20% +0.61%
6 Nov 2026 06:36 UTC BYB spot SELL 3 15.9× $32K +0.30% +0.37% +0.65%
6 Nov 2026 06:36 UTC BIN perp SELL 1 5.5× $136K +0.32% +0.47% +0.76%
6 Nov 2026 06:27 UTC BIN perp MIX 1 5.6× $130K +0.55% +0.68% +0.40%
6 Nov 2026 05:05 UTC BIN perp MIX 1 4.6× $131K -1.90% -0.09% +0.61%

+5m / +15m / +1h: the raw price change after each spike (not signed by side), — until that outcome is recorded. Each day links to that day's spike archive page. Live PIEVERSE price, funding and open interest: PIEVERSE overview.

Method

Counting. The same volume spikes as the live Volume Monitor spike scanner, for markets whose base asset is PIEVERSE. For each buy- or sell-side spike, the follow-through at +5m, +15m and +1h is the change from the spike minute's close to the close that many minutes later, with the sign flipped for sell-side spikes; a hit is a follow-through above zero. Mixed spikes (30 in this window) are left out of hit rates, medians and quartiles. HIP-3 markets (Hyperliquid builder perps such as stock tickers) are shown apart from Hyperliquid's own perps, since a HIP-3 ticker can share a name with an unrelated coin.

Reading it. Every figure shows its sample size (n) and each table its date range; cells with fewer than 30 spikes are faded. This page is only indexed once PIEVERSE has 50 or more spikes with a 1-hour outcome in the last 30 days. These are descriptive statistics of past spikes, before fees, slippage and funding, from a price you could not have traded at. They are not a trading signal and make no claim of an edge. Not financial advice. Compare with spike outcomes for all coins.

PIEVERSE spike outcome FAQ

How is the hit rate calculated?

For each buy- or sell-side PIEVERSE volume spike we compare the close of the spike minute with the close 5, 15 and 60 minutes later. A buy-side spike is a hit when price went up, a sell-side spike when it went down (exactly unchanged is a miss). Mixed spikes, with no clear taker side, are left out of hit rates, medians and quartiles. The method is the same as on spike outcomes for all coins.

Can I trade on these numbers?

No claim is made that you can. These describe what happened after past spikes, before fees, slippage and funding, measured from a price you could not have traded at. Small samples swing a lot. Nothing here is financial advice.