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AAVE Liquidation Map (Estimated)

An estimated liquidation map for Aave: the modelled value of positions that would be liquidated at each price if it got there, longs below the current price and shorts above, from positions opened in the chosen window across Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. For real positions instead of a model, see the AAVE liquidation map on Hyperliquid.

The model places $534K of long and $565K of short liquidation levels for AAVE from positions opened in the last 12 hours (high leverage (≥25×)). Within 10% of the 154.20 price: about $534K of longs below and $565K of shorts above. The densest modelled clusters are longs near 152.27 (-1.25%) and shorts near 156.90 (+1.75%).

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25xHigh leverage (≥25×) · last 12 hoursOpen interest $224.12MAs of 23:17 UTC

This is a model estimate for all tracked exchanges, not real positions. The AAVE liquidation map on Hyperliquid shows the real liquidation prices of tracked Hyperliquid wallets instead.

Long levelswithin −10%
$534K
densest near 152.27
Short levelswithin +10%
$565K
densest near 156.90
Modelled liquidationslast 12 hours
$510K
exchanges reported $96K
Open interestall exchanges
$224.12M
$534K long · $565K short levels

AAVE liquidation map · ±25% · 12 hours

$37K$141K$75K$282K$112K$423K$150K$565KLongs at 145.72–146.49 (-5.25%): ≈ $2,187 modelledLongs at 146.49–147.26 (-4.75%): ≈ $12K modelledLongs at 147.26–148.03 (-4.25%): ≈ $18K modelledLongs at 148.03–148.80 (-3.75%): ≈ $30K modelledLongs at 148.80–149.57 (-3.25%): ≈ $60K modelledLongs at 149.57–150.35 (-2.75%): ≈ $83K modelledLongs at 150.35–151.12 (-2.25%): ≈ $96K modelledLongs at 151.12–151.89 (-1.75%): ≈ $106K modelledLongs at 151.89–152.66 (-1.25%): ≈ $116K modelledLongs at 152.66–153.43 (-0.75%): ≈ $12K modelledLongs at 153.43–154.20 (-0.25%): ≈ $3 modelledShorts at 154.20–154.97 (+0.25%): ≈ $1,021 modelledShorts at 154.97–155.74 (+0.75%): ≈ $20K modelledShorts at 155.74–156.51 (+1.25%): ≈ $92K modelledShorts at 156.51–157.28 (+1.75%): ≈ $150K modelledShorts at 157.28–158.06 (+2.25%): ≈ $116K modelledShorts at 158.06–158.83 (+2.75%): ≈ $69K modelledShorts at 158.83–159.60 (+3.25%): ≈ $45K modelledShorts at 159.60–160.37 (+3.75%): ≈ $39K modelledShorts at 160.37–161.14 (+4.25%): ≈ $26K modelledShorts at 161.14–161.91 (+4.75%): ≈ $6,350 modelledShorts at 161.91–162.68 (+5.25%): ≈ $285 modelled115.65-25.00%131.07-15.00%146.49-5.00%161.91+5.00%177.33+15.00%192.75+25.00%AAVE 154.20Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · ≥25× · estimate$75K$282K$150K$565KLongs at 145.72–146.49 (-5.25%): ≈ $2,187 modelledLongs at 146.49–147.26 (-4.75%): ≈ $12K modelledLongs at 147.26–148.03 (-4.25%): ≈ $18K modelledLongs at 148.03–148.80 (-3.75%): ≈ $30K modelledLongs at 148.80–149.57 (-3.25%): ≈ $60K modelledLongs at 149.57–150.35 (-2.75%): ≈ $83K modelledLongs at 150.35–151.12 (-2.25%): ≈ $96K modelledLongs at 151.12–151.89 (-1.75%): ≈ $106K modelledLongs at 151.89–152.66 (-1.25%): ≈ $116K modelledLongs at 152.66–153.43 (-0.75%): ≈ $12K modelledLongs at 153.43–154.20 (-0.25%): ≈ $3 modelledShorts at 154.20–154.97 (+0.25%): ≈ $1,021 modelledShorts at 154.97–155.74 (+0.75%): ≈ $20K modelledShorts at 155.74–156.51 (+1.25%): ≈ $92K modelledShorts at 156.51–157.28 (+1.75%): ≈ $150K modelledShorts at 157.28–158.06 (+2.25%): ≈ $116K modelledShorts at 158.06–158.83 (+2.75%): ≈ $69K modelledShorts at 158.83–159.60 (+3.25%): ≈ $45K modelledShorts at 159.60–160.37 (+3.75%): ≈ $39K modelledShorts at 160.37–161.14 (+4.25%): ≈ $26K modelledShorts at 161.14–161.91 (+4.75%): ≈ $6,350 modelledShorts at 161.91–162.68 (+5.25%): ≈ $285 modelled115.65-25.00%134.93-12.50%173.48+12.50%192.75+25.00%AAVE 154.20Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · ≥25× · estimate
Longs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)Cumulative from the price outwards (right axis)

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · High leverage (≥25×) · positions opened in the last 12 hours. Each bar is 0.7710 wide. Outside the chart: ≈ $0 of longs and $0 of shorts.

See how these levels built up over time on the AAVE liquidation heatmap.

Densest long liquidation levels

below 154.20
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
151.89–152.66-1.25%$116K
151.12–151.89-1.75%$106K
150.35–151.12-2.25%$96K
149.57–150.35-2.75%$83K
148.80–149.57-3.25%$60K

Densest short liquidation levels

above 154.20
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
156.51–157.28+1.75%$150K
157.28–158.06+2.25%$116K
155.74–156.51+1.25%$92K
158.06–158.83+2.75%$69K
158.83–159.60+3.25%$45K

Modelled liquidations near the price

High leverage (≥25×) · last 12 hours
Price moveLongs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)
±2%$229K$267K
±5%$534K$565K
±10%$534K$565K

How this estimate is made

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x

Inputs are the open interest, prices and volume this site records from Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. Every rise in open interest is booked as a new long and a new short at the period's volume-weighted price; falls in open interest close positions proportionally; positions also decay with a multi-day half-life; and a level is removed once the price trades through it (those are the "modelled liquidations"). Liquidation prices are spread over this distance-from-entry distribution, measured on real Hyperliquid positions and cut to positions at ≥25× leverage:

Liquidation distance from entryShare of new positions
0% – 2%12.0%
2% – 4%4.7%

Known limits: prices are last-trade bars averaged across exchanges, not mark prices; opens and closes inside one open-interest snapshot (5 minutes on Binance) cancel out; one distribution is used for every coin and both sides. USD values are "≈ modelled", best read as relative intensity. Full method and a daily accuracy scoreboard against real liquidations: liquidation heatmap methodology. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.

AAVE liquidation map FAQ

Is this Aave liquidation map real data?

No, it is a model estimate. Exchanges do not publish where their users' positions would be liquidated, so every liquidation heatmap for Binance or Bybit (including the well-known ones) is a model. This one starts from real data: the open interest changes, prices and trading volume this site records from the exchanges' public APIs. Actual liquidations are usually lower, because most positions are closed long before they are liquidated.

How is it calculated?

Every rise in open interest is a new long and a new short, entered at that period's volume-weighted price. The model spreads their liquidation prices over a distance-to-liquidation distribution measured on real Hyperliquid positions (74.0% of new positions within 50% of entry; the rest are too far away or can't be liquidated). Falls in open interest close positions proportionally, positions also decay with a 5-day half-life, and a level is removed once the price trades through it. The model version on the chart says which formula and distribution were used.

What do the ranges and the ≥25× view mean?

The range is the replay window: the map shows positions opened in the last 12 hours to 30 days. All leverage uses the whole distribution; High leverage (≥25×) keeps only positions liquidated within 4% of their entry, the short-term levels that get hit first.

How is this different from the Hyperliquid liquidation map?

Hyperliquid is an on-chain exchange, so its positions and their liquidation prices are public. The AAVE liquidation map on Hyperliquid adds up the real positions of tracked wallets on Hyperliquid only. This page is an estimate for all tracked exchanges together, Binance, Bybit and Hyperliquid included. Use both: where they agree, the level is more likely real.

Can I trade on it?

Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.