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BTC Liquidation Map (Estimated)

An estimated liquidation map for Bitcoin: the modelled value of positions that would be liquidated at each price if it got there, longs below the current price and shorts above, from positions opened in the chosen window across Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. For real positions instead of a model, see the BTC liquidation map on Hyperliquid.

The model places $103.34M of long and $143.10M of short liquidation levels for BTC from positions opened in the last 7 days (high leverage (≥25×)). Within 10% of the 83,404.1 price: about $103.34M of longs below and $143.10M of shorts above. The densest modelled clusters are longs near 82,778.5 (-0.75%) and shorts near 85,280.7 (+2.25%).

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25xHigh leverage (≥25×) · last 7 daysOpen interest $22.00BAs of 03:08 UTC

This is a model estimate for all tracked exchanges, not real positions. The BTC liquidation map on Hyperliquid shows the real liquidation prices of tracked Hyperliquid wallets instead.

Long levelswithin −10%
$103.34M
densest near 82,778.5
Short levelswithin +10%
$143.10M
densest near 85,280.7
Modelled liquidationslast 7 days
$47.43M
exchanges reported $27.13M
Open interestall exchanges
$22.00B
$103.34M long · $143.10M short levels

BTC liquidation map · ±25% · 7 days

$6.99M$35.77M$13.99M$71.55M$20.98M$107.32M$27.97M$143.10MLongs at 79,650.9–80,067.9 (-4.25%): ≈ $23K modelledLongs at 80,067.9–80,484.9 (-3.75%): ≈ $1.75M modelledLongs at 80,484.9–80,901.9 (-3.25%): ≈ $3.67M modelledLongs at 80,901.9–81,319 (-2.75%): ≈ $6.75M modelledLongs at 81,319–81,736 (-2.25%): ≈ $9.81M modelledLongs at 81,736–82,153 (-1.75%): ≈ $13.75M modelledLongs at 82,153–82,570 (-1.25%): ≈ $19.38M modelledLongs at 82,570–82,987 (-0.75%): ≈ $25.64M modelledLongs at 82,987–83,404.1 (-0.25%): ≈ $22.56M modelledShorts at 83,404.1–83,821.1 (+0.25%): ≈ $223K modelledShorts at 83,821.1–84,238.1 (+0.75%): ≈ $5.31M modelledShorts at 84,238.1–84,655.1 (+1.25%): ≈ $12.72M modelledShorts at 84,655.1–85,072.1 (+1.75%): ≈ $18.01M modelledShorts at 85,072.1–85,489.2 (+2.25%): ≈ $27.97M modelledShorts at 85,489.2–85,906.2 (+2.75%): ≈ $25.79M modelledShorts at 85,906.2–86,323.2 (+3.25%): ≈ $20.10M modelledShorts at 86,323.2–86,740.2 (+3.75%): ≈ $12.37M modelledShorts at 86,740.2–87,157.2 (+4.25%): ≈ $8.74M modelledShorts at 87,157.2–87,574.3 (+4.75%): ≈ $6.79M modelledShorts at 87,574.3–87,991.3 (+5.25%): ≈ $4.27M modelledShorts at 87,991.3–88,408.3 (+5.75%): ≈ $811K modelled62,553-25.00%70,893.5-15.00%79,233.9-5.00%87,574.3+5.00%95,914.7+15.00%104,255.1+25.00%BTC 83,404.1Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · ≥25× · estimate$13.99M$71.55M$27.97M$143.10MLongs at 79,650.9–80,067.9 (-4.25%): ≈ $23K modelledLongs at 80,067.9–80,484.9 (-3.75%): ≈ $1.75M modelledLongs at 80,484.9–80,901.9 (-3.25%): ≈ $3.67M modelledLongs at 80,901.9–81,319 (-2.75%): ≈ $6.75M modelledLongs at 81,319–81,736 (-2.25%): ≈ $9.81M modelledLongs at 81,736–82,153 (-1.75%): ≈ $13.75M modelledLongs at 82,153–82,570 (-1.25%): ≈ $19.38M modelledLongs at 82,570–82,987 (-0.75%): ≈ $25.64M modelledLongs at 82,987–83,404.1 (-0.25%): ≈ $22.56M modelledShorts at 83,404.1–83,821.1 (+0.25%): ≈ $223K modelledShorts at 83,821.1–84,238.1 (+0.75%): ≈ $5.31M modelledShorts at 84,238.1–84,655.1 (+1.25%): ≈ $12.72M modelledShorts at 84,655.1–85,072.1 (+1.75%): ≈ $18.01M modelledShorts at 85,072.1–85,489.2 (+2.25%): ≈ $27.97M modelledShorts at 85,489.2–85,906.2 (+2.75%): ≈ $25.79M modelledShorts at 85,906.2–86,323.2 (+3.25%): ≈ $20.10M modelledShorts at 86,323.2–86,740.2 (+3.75%): ≈ $12.37M modelledShorts at 86,740.2–87,157.2 (+4.25%): ≈ $8.74M modelledShorts at 87,157.2–87,574.3 (+4.75%): ≈ $6.79M modelledShorts at 87,574.3–87,991.3 (+5.25%): ≈ $4.27M modelledShorts at 87,991.3–88,408.3 (+5.75%): ≈ $811K modelled62,553-25.00%72,978.6-12.50%93,829.6+12.50%104,255.1+25.00%BTC 83,404.1Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · ≥25× · estimate
Longs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)Cumulative from the price outwards (right axis)

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · High leverage (≥25×) · positions opened in the last 7 days. Each bar is 417.02 wide. Outside the chart: ≈ $0 of longs and $0 of shorts.

See how these levels built up over time on the BTC liquidation heatmap.

Densest long liquidation levels

below 83,404.1
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
82,570–82,987-0.75%$25.64M
82,987–83,404.1-0.25%$22.56M
82,153–82,570-1.25%$19.38M
81,736–82,153-1.75%$13.75M
81,319–81,736-2.25%$9.81M

Densest short liquidation levels

above 83,404.1
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
85,072.1–85,489.2+2.25%$27.97M
85,489.2–85,906.2+2.75%$25.79M
85,906.2–86,323.2+3.25%$20.10M
84,655.1–85,072.1+1.75%$18.01M
84,238.1–84,655.1+1.25%$12.72M

Modelled liquidations near the price

High leverage (≥25×) · last 7 days
Price moveLongs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)
±2%$83.00M$31.58M
±5%$103.34M$138.19M
±10%$103.34M$143.10M

How this estimate is made

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x

Inputs are the open interest, prices and volume this site records from Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. Every rise in open interest is booked as a new long and a new short at the period's volume-weighted price; falls in open interest close positions proportionally; positions also decay with a multi-day half-life; and a level is removed once the price trades through it (those are the "modelled liquidations"). Liquidation prices are spread over this distance-from-entry distribution, measured on real Hyperliquid positions and cut to positions at ≥25× leverage:

Liquidation distance from entryShare of new positions
0% – 2%12.0%
2% – 4%4.7%

Known limits: prices are last-trade bars averaged across exchanges, not mark prices; opens and closes inside one open-interest snapshot (5 minutes on Binance) cancel out; one distribution is used for every coin and both sides. USD values are "≈ modelled", best read as relative intensity. Full method and a daily accuracy scoreboard against real liquidations: liquidation heatmap methodology. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.

BTC liquidation map FAQ

Is this Bitcoin liquidation map real data?

No, it is a model estimate. Exchanges do not publish where their users' positions would be liquidated, so every liquidation heatmap for Binance or Bybit (including the well-known ones) is a model. This one starts from real data: the open interest changes, prices and trading volume this site records from the exchanges' public APIs. Actual liquidations are usually lower, because most positions are closed long before they are liquidated.

How is it calculated?

Every rise in open interest is a new long and a new short, entered at that period's volume-weighted price. The model spreads their liquidation prices over a distance-to-liquidation distribution measured on real Hyperliquid positions (74.0% of new positions within 50% of entry; the rest are too far away or can't be liquidated). Falls in open interest close positions proportionally, positions also decay with a 5-day half-life, and a level is removed once the price trades through it. The model version on the chart says which formula and distribution were used.

What do the ranges and the ≥25× view mean?

The range is the replay window: the map shows positions opened in the last 12 hours to 30 days. All leverage uses the whole distribution; High leverage (≥25×) keeps only positions liquidated within 4% of their entry, the short-term levels that get hit first.

How is this different from the Hyperliquid liquidation map?

Hyperliquid is an on-chain exchange, so its positions and their liquidation prices are public. The BTC liquidation map on Hyperliquid adds up the real positions of tracked wallets on Hyperliquid only. This page is an estimate for all tracked exchanges together, Binance, Bybit and Hyperliquid included. Use both: where they agree, the level is more likely real.

Can I trade on it?

Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.