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BTC Liquidation Map (Estimated)

An estimated liquidation map for Bitcoin: the modelled value of positions that would be liquidated at each price if it got there, longs below the current price and shorts above, from positions opened in the chosen window across Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. For real positions instead of a model, see the BTC liquidation map on Hyperliquid.

The model places $77.68M of long and $77.23M of short liquidation levels for BTC from positions opened in the last 24 hours (high leverage (≥25×)). Within 10% of the 84,430.3 price: about $77.68M of longs below and $77.23M of shorts above. The densest modelled clusters are longs near 83,374.9 (-1.25%) and shorts near 85,485.7 (+1.25%).

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25xHigh leverage (≥25×) · last 24 hoursOpen interest $22.00BAs of 00:48 UTC

This is a model estimate for all tracked exchanges, not real positions. The BTC liquidation map on Hyperliquid shows the real liquidation prices of tracked Hyperliquid wallets instead.

Long levelswithin −10%
$77.68M
densest near 83,374.9
Short levelswithin +10%
$77.23M
densest near 85,485.7
Modelled liquidationslast 24 hours
$11.36M
exchanges reported $11.39M
Open interestall exchanges
$22.00B
$77.68M long · $77.23M short levels

BTC liquidation map · ±25% · 24 hours

$4.97M$19.42M$9.94M$38.84M$14.90M$58.26M$19.87M$77.68MLongs at 80,630.9–81,053.1 (-4.25%): ≈ $714K modelledLongs at 81,053.1–81,475.2 (-3.75%): ≈ $3.55M modelledLongs at 81,475.2–81,897.4 (-3.25%): ≈ $5.67M modelledLongs at 81,897.4–82,319.6 (-2.75%): ≈ $5.75M modelledLongs at 82,319.6–82,741.7 (-2.25%): ≈ $6.74M modelledLongs at 82,741.7–83,163.9 (-1.75%): ≈ $14.69M modelledLongs at 83,163.9–83,586 (-1.25%): ≈ $19.87M modelledLongs at 83,586–84,008.2 (-0.75%): ≈ $18.69M modelledLongs at 84,008.2–84,430.3 (-0.25%): ≈ $2.01M modelledShorts at 84,430.3–84,852.5 (+0.25%): ≈ $579K modelledShorts at 84,852.5–85,274.6 (+0.75%): ≈ $7.84M modelledShorts at 85,274.6–85,696.8 (+1.25%): ≈ $19.63M modelledShorts at 85,696.8–86,118.9 (+1.75%): ≈ $18.64M modelledShorts at 86,118.9–86,541.1 (+2.25%): ≈ $11.14M modelledShorts at 86,541.1–86,963.2 (+2.75%): ≈ $6.15M modelledShorts at 86,963.2–87,385.4 (+3.25%): ≈ $5.88M modelledShorts at 87,385.4–87,807.5 (+3.75%): ≈ $4.98M modelledShorts at 87,807.5–88,229.7 (+4.25%): ≈ $2.25M modelledShorts at 88,229.7–88,651.8 (+4.75%): ≈ $160K modelled63,322.7-25.00%71,765.8-15.00%80,208.8-5.00%88,651.8+5.00%97,094.9+15.00%105,537.9+25.00%BTC 84,430.3Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · ≥25× · estimate$9.94M$38.84M$19.87M$77.68MLongs at 80,630.9–81,053.1 (-4.25%): ≈ $714K modelledLongs at 81,053.1–81,475.2 (-3.75%): ≈ $3.55M modelledLongs at 81,475.2–81,897.4 (-3.25%): ≈ $5.67M modelledLongs at 81,897.4–82,319.6 (-2.75%): ≈ $5.75M modelledLongs at 82,319.6–82,741.7 (-2.25%): ≈ $6.74M modelledLongs at 82,741.7–83,163.9 (-1.75%): ≈ $14.69M modelledLongs at 83,163.9–83,586 (-1.25%): ≈ $19.87M modelledLongs at 83,586–84,008.2 (-0.75%): ≈ $18.69M modelledLongs at 84,008.2–84,430.3 (-0.25%): ≈ $2.01M modelledShorts at 84,430.3–84,852.5 (+0.25%): ≈ $579K modelledShorts at 84,852.5–85,274.6 (+0.75%): ≈ $7.84M modelledShorts at 85,274.6–85,696.8 (+1.25%): ≈ $19.63M modelledShorts at 85,696.8–86,118.9 (+1.75%): ≈ $18.64M modelledShorts at 86,118.9–86,541.1 (+2.25%): ≈ $11.14M modelledShorts at 86,541.1–86,963.2 (+2.75%): ≈ $6.15M modelledShorts at 86,963.2–87,385.4 (+3.25%): ≈ $5.88M modelledShorts at 87,385.4–87,807.5 (+3.75%): ≈ $4.98M modelledShorts at 87,807.5–88,229.7 (+4.25%): ≈ $2.25M modelledShorts at 88,229.7–88,651.8 (+4.75%): ≈ $160K modelled63,322.7-25.00%73,876.5-12.50%94,984.1+12.50%105,537.9+25.00%BTC 84,430.3Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · ≥25× · estimate
Longs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)Cumulative from the price outwards (right axis)

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x · High leverage (≥25×) · positions opened in the last 24 hours. Each bar is 422.15 wide. Outside the chart: ≈ $0 of longs and $0 of shorts.

See how these levels built up over time on the BTC liquidation heatmap.

Densest long liquidation levels

below 84,430.3
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
83,163.9–83,586-1.25%$19.87M
83,586–84,008.2-0.75%$18.69M
82,741.7–83,163.9-1.75%$14.69M
82,319.6–82,741.7-2.25%$6.74M
81,897.4–82,319.6-2.75%$5.75M

Densest short liquidation levels

above 84,430.3
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
85,274.6–85,696.8+1.25%$19.63M
85,696.8–86,118.9+1.75%$18.64M
86,118.9–86,541.1+2.25%$11.14M
84,852.5–85,274.6+0.75%$7.84M
86,541.1–86,963.2+2.75%$6.15M

Modelled liquidations near the price

High leverage (≥25×) · last 24 hours
Price moveLongs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)
±2%$53.94M$49.32M
±5%$77.68M$77.23M
±10%$77.68M$77.23M

How this estimate is made

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27-25x

Inputs are the open interest, prices and volume this site records from Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. Every rise in open interest is booked as a new long and a new short at the period's volume-weighted price; falls in open interest close positions proportionally; positions also decay with a multi-day half-life; and a level is removed once the price trades through it (those are the "modelled liquidations"). Liquidation prices are spread over this distance-from-entry distribution, measured on real Hyperliquid positions and cut to positions at ≥25× leverage:

Liquidation distance from entryShare of new positions
0% – 2%12.0%
2% – 4%4.7%

Known limits: prices are last-trade bars averaged across exchanges, not mark prices; opens and closes inside one open-interest snapshot (5 minutes on Binance) cancel out; one distribution is used for every coin and both sides. USD values are "≈ modelled", best read as relative intensity. Full method and a daily accuracy scoreboard against real liquidations: liquidation heatmap methodology. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.

BTC liquidation map FAQ

Is this Bitcoin liquidation map real data?

No, it is a model estimate. Exchanges do not publish where their users' positions would be liquidated, so every liquidation heatmap for Binance or Bybit (including the well-known ones) is a model. This one starts from real data: the open interest changes, prices and trading volume this site records from the exchanges' public APIs. Actual liquidations are usually lower, because most positions are closed long before they are liquidated.

How is it calculated?

Every rise in open interest is a new long and a new short, entered at that period's volume-weighted price. The model spreads their liquidation prices over a distance-to-liquidation distribution measured on real Hyperliquid positions (74.0% of new positions within 50% of entry; the rest are too far away or can't be liquidated). Falls in open interest close positions proportionally, positions also decay with a 5-day half-life, and a level is removed once the price trades through it. The model version on the chart says which formula and distribution were used.

What do the ranges and the ≥25× view mean?

The range is the replay window: the map shows positions opened in the last 12 hours to 30 days. All leverage uses the whole distribution; High leverage (≥25×) keeps only positions liquidated within 4% of their entry, the short-term levels that get hit first.

How is this different from the Hyperliquid liquidation map?

Hyperliquid is an on-chain exchange, so its positions and their liquidation prices are public. The BTC liquidation map on Hyperliquid adds up the real positions of tracked wallets on Hyperliquid only. This page is an estimate for all tracked exchanges together, Binance, Bybit and Hyperliquid included. Use both: where they agree, the level is more likely real.

Can I trade on it?

Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.