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XAU Liquidation Map (Estimated)

An estimated liquidation map for XAU: the modelled value of positions that would be liquidated at each price if it got there, longs below the current price and shorts above, from positions opened in the chosen window across Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin.

The model places $7.10M of long and $8.24M of short liquidation levels for XAU from positions opened in the last 7 days (all leverage). Within 10% of the 4,177.9 price: about $4.70M of longs below and $4.42M of shorts above. The densest modelled clusters are longs near 4,146.6 (-0.75%) and shorts near 4,251 (+1.75%).

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27All leverage · last 7 daysOpen interest $62.97MAs of 06:25 UTC

This is a model estimate for all tracked exchanges, not real positions.

Long levelswithin −10%
$4.70M
densest near 4,146.6
Short levelswithin +10%
$4.42M
densest near 4,251
Modelled liquidationslast 7 days
$561K
exchanges reported $253K
Open interestall exchanges
$62.97M
$7.10M long · $8.24M short levels

XAU liquidation map · ±25% · 7 days

$109K$1.91M$217K$3.82M$326K$5.72M$434K$7.63MLongs at 3,196.1–3,217 (-23.25%): ≈ $8,532 modelledLongs at 3,217–3,237.9 (-22.75%): ≈ $36K modelledLongs at 3,237.9–3,258.8 (-22.25%): ≈ $36K modelledLongs at 3,258.8–3,279.6 (-21.75%): ≈ $37K modelledLongs at 3,279.6–3,300.5 (-21.25%): ≈ $37K modelledLongs at 3,300.5–3,321.4 (-20.75%): ≈ $37K modelledLongs at 3,321.4–3,342.3 (-20.25%): ≈ $37K modelledLongs at 3,342.3–3,363.2 (-19.75%): ≈ $47K modelledLongs at 3,363.2–3,384.1 (-19.25%): ≈ $91K modelledLongs at 3,384.1–3,405 (-18.75%): ≈ $98K modelledLongs at 3,405–3,425.9 (-18.25%): ≈ $104K modelledLongs at 3,425.9–3,446.8 (-17.75%): ≈ $112K modelledLongs at 3,446.8–3,467.6 (-17.25%): ≈ $112K modelledLongs at 3,467.6–3,488.5 (-16.75%): ≈ $115K modelledLongs at 3,488.5–3,509.4 (-16.25%): ≈ $115K modelledLongs at 3,509.4–3,530.3 (-15.75%): ≈ $114K modelledLongs at 3,530.3–3,551.2 (-15.25%): ≈ $114K modelledLongs at 3,551.2–3,572.1 (-14.75%): ≈ $114K modelledLongs at 3,572.1–3,593 (-14.25%): ≈ $118K modelledLongs at 3,593–3,613.9 (-13.75%): ≈ $119K modelledLongs at 3,613.9–3,634.8 (-13.25%): ≈ $118K modelledLongs at 3,634.8–3,655.7 (-12.75%): ≈ $118K modelledLongs at 3,655.7–3,676.5 (-12.25%): ≈ $117K modelledLongs at 3,676.5–3,697.4 (-11.75%): ≈ $113K modelledLongs at 3,697.4–3,718.3 (-11.25%): ≈ $112K modelledLongs at 3,718.3–3,739.2 (-10.75%): ≈ $111K modelledLongs at 3,739.2–3,760.1 (-10.25%): ≈ $111K modelledLongs at 3,760.1–3,781 (-9.75%): ≈ $120K modelledLongs at 3,781–3,801.9 (-9.25%): ≈ $190K modelledLongs at 3,801.9–3,822.8 (-8.75%): ≈ $228K modelledLongs at 3,822.8–3,843.7 (-8.25%): ≈ $234K modelledLongs at 3,843.7–3,864.5 (-7.75%): ≈ $251K modelledLongs at 3,864.5–3,885.4 (-7.25%): ≈ $256K modelledLongs at 3,885.4–3,906.3 (-6.75%): ≈ $261K modelledLongs at 3,906.3–3,927.2 (-6.25%): ≈ $264K modelledLongs at 3,927.2–3,948.1 (-5.75%): ≈ $263K modelledLongs at 3,948.1–3,969 (-5.25%): ≈ $262K modelledLongs at 3,969–3,989.9 (-4.75%): ≈ $255K modelledLongs at 3,989.9–4,010.8 (-4.25%): ≈ $182K modelledLongs at 4,010.8–4,031.7 (-3.75%): ≈ $165K modelledLongs at 4,031.7–4,052.6 (-3.25%): ≈ $161K modelledLongs at 4,052.6–4,073.4 (-2.75%): ≈ $153K modelledLongs at 4,073.4–4,094.3 (-2.25%): ≈ $151K modelledLongs at 4,094.3–4,115.2 (-1.75%): ≈ $173K modelledLongs at 4,115.2–4,136.1 (-1.25%): ≈ $329K modelledLongs at 4,136.1–4,157 (-0.75%): ≈ $434K modelledLongs at 4,157–4,177.9 (-0.25%): ≈ $363K modelledShorts at 4,177.9–4,198.8 (+0.25%): ≈ $1,632 modelledShorts at 4,198.8–4,219.7 (+0.75%): ≈ $34K modelledShorts at 4,219.7–4,240.6 (+1.25%): ≈ $249K modelledShorts at 4,240.6–4,261.4 (+1.75%): ≈ $391K modelledShorts at 4,261.4–4,282.3 (+2.25%): ≈ $390K modelledShorts at 4,282.3–4,303.2 (+2.75%): ≈ $287K modelledShorts at 4,303.2–4,324.1 (+3.25%): ≈ $228K modelledShorts at 4,324.1–4,345 (+3.75%): ≈ $216K modelledShorts at 4,345–4,365.9 (+4.25%): ≈ $194K modelledShorts at 4,365.9–4,386.8 (+4.75%): ≈ $160K modelledShorts at 4,386.8–4,407.7 (+5.25%): ≈ $163K modelledShorts at 4,407.7–4,428.6 (+5.75%): ≈ $205K modelledShorts at 4,428.6–4,449.5 (+6.25%): ≈ $226K modelledShorts at 4,449.5–4,470.3 (+6.75%): ≈ $231K modelledShorts at 4,470.3–4,491.2 (+7.25%): ≈ $237K modelledShorts at 4,491.2–4,512.1 (+7.75%): ≈ $248K modelledShorts at 4,512.1–4,533 (+8.25%): ≈ $252K modelledShorts at 4,533–4,553.9 (+8.75%): ≈ $257K modelledShorts at 4,553.9–4,574.8 (+9.25%): ≈ $257K modelledShorts at 4,574.8–4,595.7 (+9.75%): ≈ $256K modelledShorts at 4,595.7–4,616.6 (+10.25%): ≈ $249K modelledShorts at 4,616.6–4,637.5 (+10.75%): ≈ $196K modelledShorts at 4,637.5–4,658.3 (+11.25%): ≈ $150K modelledShorts at 4,658.3–4,679.2 (+11.75%): ≈ $142K modelledShorts at 4,679.2–4,700.1 (+12.25%): ≈ $134K modelledShorts at 4,700.1–4,721 (+12.75%): ≈ $120K modelledShorts at 4,721–4,741.9 (+13.25%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,741.9–4,762.8 (+13.75%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,762.8–4,783.7 (+14.25%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,783.7–4,804.6 (+14.75%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,804.6–4,825.5 (+15.25%): ≈ $114K modelledShorts at 4,825.5–4,846.4 (+15.75%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,846.4–4,867.2 (+16.25%): ≈ $119K modelledShorts at 4,867.2–4,888.1 (+16.75%): ≈ $118K modelledShorts at 4,888.1–4,909 (+17.25%): ≈ $118K modelledShorts at 4,909–4,929.9 (+17.75%): ≈ $118K modelledShorts at 4,929.9–4,950.8 (+18.25%): ≈ $114K modelledShorts at 4,950.8–4,971.7 (+18.75%): ≈ $113K modelledShorts at 4,971.7–4,992.6 (+19.25%): ≈ $113K modelledShorts at 4,992.6–5,013.5 (+19.75%): ≈ $112K modelledShorts at 5,013.5–5,034.4 (+20.25%): ≈ $108K modelledShorts at 5,034.4–5,055.2 (+20.75%): ≈ $85K modelledShorts at 5,055.2–5,076.1 (+21.25%): ≈ $57K modelledShorts at 5,076.1–5,097 (+21.75%): ≈ $52K modelledShorts at 5,097–5,117.9 (+22.25%): ≈ $50K modelledShorts at 5,117.9–5,138.8 (+22.75%): ≈ $43K modelledShorts at 5,138.8–5,159.7 (+23.25%): ≈ $37K modelledShorts at 5,159.7–5,180.6 (+23.75%): ≈ $37K modelledShorts at 5,180.6–5,201.5 (+24.25%): ≈ $36K modelledShorts at 5,201.5–5,222.4 (+24.75%): ≈ $36K modelled3,133.4-25.00%3,551.2-15.00%3,969-5.00%4,386.8+5.00%4,804.6+15.00%5,222.4+25.00%XAU 4,177.9Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate$217K$3.82M$434K$7.63MLongs at 3,196.1–3,217 (-23.25%): ≈ $8,532 modelledLongs at 3,217–3,237.9 (-22.75%): ≈ $36K modelledLongs at 3,237.9–3,258.8 (-22.25%): ≈ $36K modelledLongs at 3,258.8–3,279.6 (-21.75%): ≈ $37K modelledLongs at 3,279.6–3,300.5 (-21.25%): ≈ $37K modelledLongs at 3,300.5–3,321.4 (-20.75%): ≈ $37K modelledLongs at 3,321.4–3,342.3 (-20.25%): ≈ $37K modelledLongs at 3,342.3–3,363.2 (-19.75%): ≈ $47K modelledLongs at 3,363.2–3,384.1 (-19.25%): ≈ $91K modelledLongs at 3,384.1–3,405 (-18.75%): ≈ $98K modelledLongs at 3,405–3,425.9 (-18.25%): ≈ $104K modelledLongs at 3,425.9–3,446.8 (-17.75%): ≈ $112K modelledLongs at 3,446.8–3,467.6 (-17.25%): ≈ $112K modelledLongs at 3,467.6–3,488.5 (-16.75%): ≈ $115K modelledLongs at 3,488.5–3,509.4 (-16.25%): ≈ $115K modelledLongs at 3,509.4–3,530.3 (-15.75%): ≈ $114K modelledLongs at 3,530.3–3,551.2 (-15.25%): ≈ $114K modelledLongs at 3,551.2–3,572.1 (-14.75%): ≈ $114K modelledLongs at 3,572.1–3,593 (-14.25%): ≈ $118K modelledLongs at 3,593–3,613.9 (-13.75%): ≈ $119K modelledLongs at 3,613.9–3,634.8 (-13.25%): ≈ $118K modelledLongs at 3,634.8–3,655.7 (-12.75%): ≈ $118K modelledLongs at 3,655.7–3,676.5 (-12.25%): ≈ $117K modelledLongs at 3,676.5–3,697.4 (-11.75%): ≈ $113K modelledLongs at 3,697.4–3,718.3 (-11.25%): ≈ $112K modelledLongs at 3,718.3–3,739.2 (-10.75%): ≈ $111K modelledLongs at 3,739.2–3,760.1 (-10.25%): ≈ $111K modelledLongs at 3,760.1–3,781 (-9.75%): ≈ $120K modelledLongs at 3,781–3,801.9 (-9.25%): ≈ $190K modelledLongs at 3,801.9–3,822.8 (-8.75%): ≈ $228K modelledLongs at 3,822.8–3,843.7 (-8.25%): ≈ $234K modelledLongs at 3,843.7–3,864.5 (-7.75%): ≈ $251K modelledLongs at 3,864.5–3,885.4 (-7.25%): ≈ $256K modelledLongs at 3,885.4–3,906.3 (-6.75%): ≈ $261K modelledLongs at 3,906.3–3,927.2 (-6.25%): ≈ $264K modelledLongs at 3,927.2–3,948.1 (-5.75%): ≈ $263K modelledLongs at 3,948.1–3,969 (-5.25%): ≈ $262K modelledLongs at 3,969–3,989.9 (-4.75%): ≈ $255K modelledLongs at 3,989.9–4,010.8 (-4.25%): ≈ $182K modelledLongs at 4,010.8–4,031.7 (-3.75%): ≈ $165K modelledLongs at 4,031.7–4,052.6 (-3.25%): ≈ $161K modelledLongs at 4,052.6–4,073.4 (-2.75%): ≈ $153K modelledLongs at 4,073.4–4,094.3 (-2.25%): ≈ $151K modelledLongs at 4,094.3–4,115.2 (-1.75%): ≈ $173K modelledLongs at 4,115.2–4,136.1 (-1.25%): ≈ $329K modelledLongs at 4,136.1–4,157 (-0.75%): ≈ $434K modelledLongs at 4,157–4,177.9 (-0.25%): ≈ $363K modelledShorts at 4,177.9–4,198.8 (+0.25%): ≈ $1,632 modelledShorts at 4,198.8–4,219.7 (+0.75%): ≈ $34K modelledShorts at 4,219.7–4,240.6 (+1.25%): ≈ $249K modelledShorts at 4,240.6–4,261.4 (+1.75%): ≈ $391K modelledShorts at 4,261.4–4,282.3 (+2.25%): ≈ $390K modelledShorts at 4,282.3–4,303.2 (+2.75%): ≈ $287K modelledShorts at 4,303.2–4,324.1 (+3.25%): ≈ $228K modelledShorts at 4,324.1–4,345 (+3.75%): ≈ $216K modelledShorts at 4,345–4,365.9 (+4.25%): ≈ $194K modelledShorts at 4,365.9–4,386.8 (+4.75%): ≈ $160K modelledShorts at 4,386.8–4,407.7 (+5.25%): ≈ $163K modelledShorts at 4,407.7–4,428.6 (+5.75%): ≈ $205K modelledShorts at 4,428.6–4,449.5 (+6.25%): ≈ $226K modelledShorts at 4,449.5–4,470.3 (+6.75%): ≈ $231K modelledShorts at 4,470.3–4,491.2 (+7.25%): ≈ $237K modelledShorts at 4,491.2–4,512.1 (+7.75%): ≈ $248K modelledShorts at 4,512.1–4,533 (+8.25%): ≈ $252K modelledShorts at 4,533–4,553.9 (+8.75%): ≈ $257K modelledShorts at 4,553.9–4,574.8 (+9.25%): ≈ $257K modelledShorts at 4,574.8–4,595.7 (+9.75%): ≈ $256K modelledShorts at 4,595.7–4,616.6 (+10.25%): ≈ $249K modelledShorts at 4,616.6–4,637.5 (+10.75%): ≈ $196K modelledShorts at 4,637.5–4,658.3 (+11.25%): ≈ $150K modelledShorts at 4,658.3–4,679.2 (+11.75%): ≈ $142K modelledShorts at 4,679.2–4,700.1 (+12.25%): ≈ $134K modelledShorts at 4,700.1–4,721 (+12.75%): ≈ $120K modelledShorts at 4,721–4,741.9 (+13.25%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,741.9–4,762.8 (+13.75%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,762.8–4,783.7 (+14.25%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,783.7–4,804.6 (+14.75%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,804.6–4,825.5 (+15.25%): ≈ $114K modelledShorts at 4,825.5–4,846.4 (+15.75%): ≈ $115K modelledShorts at 4,846.4–4,867.2 (+16.25%): ≈ $119K modelledShorts at 4,867.2–4,888.1 (+16.75%): ≈ $118K modelledShorts at 4,888.1–4,909 (+17.25%): ≈ $118K modelledShorts at 4,909–4,929.9 (+17.75%): ≈ $118K modelledShorts at 4,929.9–4,950.8 (+18.25%): ≈ $114K modelledShorts at 4,950.8–4,971.7 (+18.75%): ≈ $113K modelledShorts at 4,971.7–4,992.6 (+19.25%): ≈ $113K modelledShorts at 4,992.6–5,013.5 (+19.75%): ≈ $112K modelledShorts at 5,013.5–5,034.4 (+20.25%): ≈ $108K modelledShorts at 5,034.4–5,055.2 (+20.75%): ≈ $85K modelledShorts at 5,055.2–5,076.1 (+21.25%): ≈ $57K modelledShorts at 5,076.1–5,097 (+21.75%): ≈ $52K modelledShorts at 5,097–5,117.9 (+22.25%): ≈ $50K modelledShorts at 5,117.9–5,138.8 (+22.75%): ≈ $43K modelledShorts at 5,138.8–5,159.7 (+23.25%): ≈ $37K modelledShorts at 5,159.7–5,180.6 (+23.75%): ≈ $37K modelledShorts at 5,180.6–5,201.5 (+24.25%): ≈ $36K modelledShorts at 5,201.5–5,222.4 (+24.75%): ≈ $36K modelled3,133.4-25.00%3,655.7-12.50%4,700.1+12.50%5,222.4+25.00%XAU 4,177.9Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All · estimate
Longs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)Cumulative from the price outwards (right axis)

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27 · All leverage · positions opened in the last 7 days. Each bar is 20.889 wide. Outside the chart: ≈ $0 of longs and $612K of shorts.

See how these levels built up over time on the XAU liquidation heatmap.

Densest long liquidation levels

below 4,177.9
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
4,136.1–4,157-0.75%$434K
4,157–4,177.9-0.25%$363K
4,115.2–4,136.1-1.25%$329K
3,906.3–3,927.2-6.25%$264K
3,927.2–3,948.1-5.75%$263K

Densest short liquidation levels

above 4,177.9
PriceDistance≈ Modelled
4,240.6–4,261.4+1.75%$391K
4,261.4–4,282.3+2.25%$390K
4,282.3–4,303.2+2.75%$287K
4,533–4,553.9+8.75%$257K
4,553.9–4,574.8+9.25%$257K

Modelled liquidations near the price

All leverage · last 7 days
Price moveLongs liquidated (price falls)Shorts liquidated (price rises)
±2%$1.31M$631K
±5%$2.33M$2.17M
±10%$4.70M$4.42M

How this estimate is made

Model est-1.0+hl-2026-09-27

Inputs are the open interest, prices and volume this site records from Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Gate, HTX, MEXC, KuCoin. Every rise in open interest is booked as a new long and a new short at the period's volume-weighted price; falls in open interest close positions proportionally; positions also decay with a multi-day half-life; and a level is removed once the price trades through it (those are the "modelled liquidations"). Liquidation prices are spread over this distance-from-entry distribution, measured on real Hyperliquid positions:

Liquidation distance from entryShare of new positions
0% – 2%12.0%
2% – 5%7.0%
5% – 10%20.0%
10% – 20%18.0%
20% – 50%17.0%

Known limits: prices are last-trade bars averaged across exchanges, not mark prices; opens and closes inside one open-interest snapshot (5 minutes on Binance) cancel out; one distribution is used for every coin and both sides. USD values are "≈ modelled", best read as relative intensity. Full method and a daily accuracy scoreboard against real liquidations: liquidation heatmap methodology. Estimates may be materially wrong; not financial advice.

XAU liquidation map FAQ

Is this XAU liquidation map real data?

No, it is a model estimate. Exchanges do not publish where their users' positions would be liquidated, so every liquidation heatmap for Binance or Bybit (including the well-known ones) is a model. This one starts from real data: the open interest changes, prices and trading volume this site records from the exchanges' public APIs. Actual liquidations are usually lower, because most positions are closed long before they are liquidated.

How is it calculated?

Every rise in open interest is a new long and a new short, entered at that period's volume-weighted price. The model spreads their liquidation prices over a distance-to-liquidation distribution measured on real Hyperliquid positions (74.0% of new positions within 50% of entry; the rest are too far away or can't be liquidated). Falls in open interest close positions proportionally, positions also decay with a 5-day half-life, and a level is removed once the price trades through it. The model version on the chart says which formula and distribution were used.

What do the ranges and the ≥25× view mean?

The range is the replay window: the map shows positions opened in the last 12 hours to 30 days. All leverage uses the whole distribution; High leverage (≥25×) keeps only positions liquidated within 4% of their entry, the short-term levels that get hit first.

How is this different from the Hyperliquid liquidation map?

Hyperliquid is an on-chain exchange, so its positions and their liquidation prices are public. The Hyperliquid liquidation map adds up the real positions of tracked wallets on Hyperliquid only (there is none for XAU, which has no Hyperliquid perp). This page is an estimate for all tracked exchanges together, Binance, Bybit and Hyperliquid included. Use both: where they agree, the level is more likely real.

Can I trade on it?

Treat it as context, not a signal. Clusters show where forced closes may bunch up if the price gets there; they don't predict that it will. Nothing here is financial advice, estimates may be materially wrong, and derivatives trading can lose more than your deposit.